TrainHealthOnline

Healthcare Data Analytics: Methods of Matching Scarce Resources with Uncertain Patient Demand: Your COVID Test is Positive, Are You Infected? Applying Bayesian Inference for Single and Multiple Diagnostic Tests

Monday
August
12
2024
Time: 08:00 AM PDT | 11:00 AM EDT
Duration: 90 Minutes
Webinar Id: 801510
Instructor: Alexander Kolker 
Refund Policy
Live

 

  • $149.
    One Attendee
  • $299.
    Unlimited Attendees
Combo

Live + Recorded

  • $299 $348  
    One Attendee
  • $599 $698
    Unltd Attendees ?

Overview:

The authorities need to make an accurate assessment, so that they can avoid releasing the infected individuals and quarantining the non-infected ones. Suppose a diagnostic test was ordered and was reported as positive.

Based on the single test outcome, could it be reliably concluded that the individual was infected and counted in statistics as such? If the test was negative could the individual be declared infection-free and let go? Should population mass testing be mandated? What decision on further action should be made by the authorities based on the population mass testing results?

Why should you Attend: One should attend this webinar to understand how to apply Bayesian inference methodology to correctly interpret the outcome of single and repeated positive or negative tests. Specifically, based on the single test outcome, could it be reliably concluded that the individual was infected and counted in statistics as such?

If the test was negative could the individual be declared infection-free and let go? Should population mass testing be mandated? What decision on further action should be made by the authorities based on the population mass testing results?

Areas Covered in the Session:

  • Bayesian interpretation of a single diagnostic test
  • Bayesian interpretation of two and more consecutive repeated tests
  • Positive and negative predictive values
  • Two types of tests for COVID: real-time reverse transcriptase (RT-PCR) and a rapid antigen test (Ag-RDTs)
  • The concept of test's specificity and sensitivity
  • Repeated tests with updated priors (prevalence)

Who Will Benefit:
  • Nursing Managers
  • Chief Nursing Officers
  • Directors and VP of Quality and Operations Improvements of Healthcare Organizations

Speaker Profile
Alexander Kolker Kolker holds a Ph.D. in applied mathematics. He is an expert in advanced data analytics for operations management, computer simulation, and staffing optimization with the main focus on healthcare applications.

Alexander is the lead editor and author of 2 books, 8 book chapters, 10 journal papers, and a speaker at 18 international conferences & webinars in the area of operations management and data analytics. As an adjunct faculty at the UW-Milwaukee Lubar School of Business, he developed and taught a graduate course Business 755-Healthcare Delivery Systems-Data Analytics. He worked 12 years for GE (General Electric) Healthcare as a Data Scientist and CT Detector design engineer, 3 years for Froedtert Hospital, the largest healthcare facility in Southern state of Wisconsin, and 5 years for Children’s Hospital of Wisconsin as a lead computer simulation and system improvement consultant.

Currently he is teaching a 12-sessions online course “Healthcare Operations Research and Management Science” for the UK, National Health System (NHS).


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